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Champions League

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Champions League | League Stage
Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade du Roudourou

Brest
2 - 1
Sturm Graz

Magnetti (23'), Sima (56')
Sima (36'), Sima (37'), Camara (64'), Ajorque (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandes (45+1' og.)
Horvat (21'), Johnston (22'), Lavalee (40'), Lavalee (40'), Gorenc Stankovic (59'), Gazibegovic (83')
Lavalee (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Champions League clash between Brest and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Brest
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last Game: Sturm Graz 4-2 Swarovski
Saturday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match.

Result
BrestDrawSturm Graz
31.76% (0.339 0.34)24.96% (0.02 0.02)43.27% (-0.361 -0.36)
Both teams to score 56.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (0.030999999999999 0.03)68.83% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.238 0.24)27.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.30099999999999 0.3)63.37% (-0.303 -0.3)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-0.154 -0.15)21.53% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.236 -0.24)54.6% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.76%
    Sturm Graz 43.27%
    Draw 24.96%
BrestDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.04 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.045 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.76%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.27%

How you voted: Brest vs Sturm Graz

Brest
58.3%
Draw
16.1%
Sturm Graz
25.7%
230
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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