Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest logo

Lens
2 - 0
Brest

Chavez (19'), Le Cardinal (45' og.)
Labeau (17'), Khusanov (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Amavi (25'), Faivre (67'), Magnetti (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, August 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
53.88% (0.223 0.22)23.04% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)23.08% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.1 0.1)44.18% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (0.097000000000001 0.1)66.56% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (0.116 0.12)16.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07% (0.207 0.21)45.93% (-0.201 -0.2)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)33.07% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)69.67% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lens 53.88%
    Brest 23.08%
    Draw 23.03%
LensDrawBrest
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Lens vs Brest

Lens
81.5%
Draw
13.0%
Brest
5.6%
54
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-0
Brest
Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Gradit (83')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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