MX23RW : Tuesday, May 30 16:06:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
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AJ Auxerre
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Clermont Foot
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Lille
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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest logo
Lens
3 - 2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:
    Last Game: Lens 0-0 West Ham
    Saturday, July 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Brest

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
      Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

      We said: Lens 2-1 Brest

       Surely something must give, as both teams seek to end their dismal opening-day records, and it is most likely that Lens will do so, due to a combination of home advantage and their greater firepower up front. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.23%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

      Result
      LensDrawBrest
      53.21% (-0.191 -0.19) 24.56% (0.02 0.02) 22.23% (0.171 0.17)
      Both teams to score 50.09% (0.158 0.16)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      48.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)51.47% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      26.72% (0.085000000000001 0.09)73.28% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
      Lens Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      80.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)19.29% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      48.96% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)51.04% (0.061 0.06)
      Brest Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      62.07% (0.222 0.22)37.93% (-0.225 -0.23)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      25.3% (0.214 0.21)74.7% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
      Score Analysis
          Lens 53.21%
          Brest 22.23%
          Draw 24.56%
      LensDrawBrest
      1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
      2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
      2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
      3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
      3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
      4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
      4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
      4-2 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
      Other @ 2.96%
      Total : 53.21%
      		1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
      2-2 @ 4.66% (0.027 0.03)
      Other @ 0.91%
      Total : 24.56%
      		0-1 @ 7.1% (0.016 0.02)
      1-2 @ 5.66% (0.04 0.04)
      0-2 @ 3.44% (0.028 0.03)
      1-3 @ 1.83% (0.023 0.02)
      2-3 @ 1.5% (0.018 0.02)
      0-3 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
      Other @ 1.59%
      Total : 22.23%

      How you voted: Lens vs Brest

      Lens
      77.1%
      Draw
      17.1%
      Brest
      5.7%
      35
      Head to Head
      Mar 5, 2022 4pm
      Lens
      0-1
      Brest

      Medina (67')
      Honorat (59')
      Belkebla (54')
      Nov 21, 2021 12pm
      Brest
      4-0
      Lens
      Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
      Duverne (58')

      Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
      Kalimuendo (74')
      Apr 18, 2021 2pm
      Brest
      1-1
      Lens
      Cahuzac (37' og.), Kakuta (72' pen.)
      Bade (35'), Haidara (48'), Fortes (54'), Banza (59'), Clauss (63'), Lucas (87')
      Haise (65'), Fortes (81'), Lucas (89'), Banza (89')
      Dec 23, 2020 6pm
      Lens
      2-1
      Brest
      Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)
      Charbonnier (90+4' pen.)
      Pierre-Gabriel (13'), Duverne (32')
      Apr 27, 2019 2pm
      Brest
      2-0
      Lens
      Court (35'), Autret (45')
      Autret (52')
      rhs 2.0
      Real Madrid Until The End
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      (ret.)
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      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
      2Lens37249465283781
      3Marseille37227867392873
      4Lille37199964432166
      5Rennes372051267382965
      6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
      7Lyon371881164442062
      8Clermont37168134247-556
      9Nice371413104536955
      10Lorient371410135052-252
      11Reims371215104442251
      12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
      13Toulouse37129164956-745
      14Brest371111154352-944
      15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
      16Auxerre37811183460-2635
      17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
      RTroyes37411224480-3623
      RAjaccio3765262274-5223
      RAngers3746273380-4718
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