The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
We said: Metz 1-2 Brest
Having failed to win several matches against direct rivals, Metz are effectively at the point of no return, and they will need to play on the front foot on Sunday. Nevertheless, Brest are seemingly ending the campaign on a high, and we are backing the visitors to run out the victors in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Brest |
| 30.48% | 26.4% | 43.12% |
| Both teams to score 51.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
