| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Angers |
| 41.07% ( | 25.9% ( | 33.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( | 50.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( | 72.17% ( |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( | 24.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.48% ( | 58.51% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( | 28.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.38% ( | 64.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 13 |
| 2 | Lens | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Rennes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lorient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Lille | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | NantesNantes | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Troyes | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Clermont | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Reims | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | MonacoMonaco | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Ajaccio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
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