Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.