Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
| 32.85% | 25.6% | 41.55% |
| Both teams to score 54.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% | 48.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% | 71.07% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% | 28.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36% | 64% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% | 23.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.61% | 57.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 16 | 44 | 68 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Lazio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Roma | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Juventus | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Udinese | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 38 |
| 9 | Bologna | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Torino | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Monza | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 |
| 13 | Fiorentina | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 24 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 19 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 27 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 13 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 43 | -30 | 12 |
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