Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 35.11%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (13.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.