Elche will certainly be the fresher of the two teams for this match, but Real Sociedad will be fired-up to return to winning ways following their European disappointment, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a routine home success in Sunday's encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.54%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
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