

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 36.62% (  -0.06) | 26.97% (  0.01) | 36.41% (  0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 51.01% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.75% (  -0.05) | 54.25% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.35% (  -0.04) | 75.65% (  0.04) | 
| Elche Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.48% (  -0.06) | 28.52% (  0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.7% (  -0.07) | 64.3% (  0.07) | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.36% (  0) | 28.64% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.55% (  0) | 64.45% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Elche | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.04% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.43% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% (  -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.61% | 1-1 @ 12.81% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.17% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 5.03% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.21% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 8.01% (  0) 0-2 @ 6.38% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.66% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% (  0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.41% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 | 
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 | 
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 | 
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 | 
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 | 
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 | 
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 | 
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 | 
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