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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
24.76% (![]() | 25.1% (![]() | 50.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% (![]() | 51.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% (![]() | 73.12% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% (![]() | 35.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.73% (![]() | 72.26% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% (![]() | 20.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% (![]() | 52.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 7.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 11.93% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 11.52% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.47% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
4 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
8 | Orlando City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Toronto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
2 | St Louis City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
5 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |