J1 League | Gameweek 19

Jun 1, 2025 at 7am UK

KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
4 - 2
Shimizu S-Pulse

Takahashi Cendagorta (12'), Nakajima (18'), Ratao (54'), Fernandes (70')
Ratao (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Yamahara (4'), Gunji (89')
Takahashi (64')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 28 at 11.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions

Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, May 25 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
45.76% ( 0.28)	24.67% ( 0.04)	29.56% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 56.5% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

-0.36)

46.26% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45% (

-0.34)

68.55% (

0.33)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

-0.03)

20.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.34% (

-0.04)

52.66% (

0.04)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.41)

29.11% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.51)

65.03% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 45.76%

Shimizu S-Pulse 29.56%

Draw 24.67%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.76%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.56%