J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 18, 2025 at 7am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 0
Cerezo

Erison (85', 85', 88', 88')
Sasaki (53'), Sasaki (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Yokohama FC
Wednesday, May 14 at 11am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Yokohama
Sunday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
52.5% (-0.318 -0.32)22.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)24.52% (0.325 0.32)
Both teams to score 57.91% (0.396 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (0.354 0.35)42.42% (-0.355 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (0.351 0.35)64.83% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.016000000000005 0.02)16.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (0.030000000000001 0.03)45.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.45999999999999 0.46)30.89% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (0.536 0.54)67.18% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 52.5%
    Cerezo Osaka 24.52%
    Draw 22.97%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.5%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.52%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 11am
Gameweek 23
Kawasaki
1-1
Cerezo
Marcinho (36')
Yamada (33')
Bueno (77')
Okuda (49')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 7am
Gameweek 8
Cerezo
1-0
Kawasaki
Ceara (70')

Marcinho (55'), Erison (60')
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Cerezo
3-0
Kawasaki
Takai (52' og.), Ceara (72' pen.), Watanabe (90+2' pen.)

Takai (90+4')
Mar 18, 2023 7am
Gameweek 5
Kawasaki
0-0
Cerezo
Jul 2, 2022 11am
Gameweek 19
Cerezo
2-1
Kawasaki
Funaki (59'), Patric (90+2')
Funaki (61')
Taniguchi (36')
Sasaki (90+1')