MX23RW : Monday, May 19 08:39:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 1
Cerezo

Marcinho (36')
Yamada (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bueno (77')
Okuda (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League

We said: Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Cerezo Osaka

Kawasaki have drawn each of their last four top-flight matches, while Cerezo Osaka have seen each of their previous three away league games finish all square, and with that in mind, we think that the two sides could play out a draw in Sunday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
40.36% (0.131 0.13) 25.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 34.53% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (-0.129 -0.13)46.42% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (-0.122 -0.12)68.7% (0.117 0.12)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.6% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.152 -0.15)26.02% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)61.05% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 40.36%
    Cerezo Osaka 34.53%
    Draw 25.1%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.36%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.53%

How you voted: Kawasaki vs Cerezo

Kawasaki Frontale
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Cerezo Osaka
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 7am
Gameweek 8
Cerezo
1-0
Kawasaki
Ceara (70')

Marcinho (55'), Erison (60')
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Cerezo
3-0
Kawasaki
Takai (52' og.), Ceara (72' pen.), Watanabe (90+2' pen.)

Takai (90+4')
Mar 18, 2023 7am
Jul 2, 2022 11am
Gameweek 19
Cerezo
2-1
Kawasaki
Funaki (59'), Patric (90+2')
Funaki (61')
Taniguchi (36')
Sasaki (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 7am
Gameweek 6
Kawasaki
1-4
Cerezo
Marcinho (86')
Inui (13', 28'), Yamada (36', 68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17121427121537
2Kashiwa ReysolReysol179622013733
3Kyoto Sanga189452721631
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa178542115629
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima169251612429
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1566324141024
7Machida Zelvia177372018224
8Vissel KobeVissel Kobe157351614224
9Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka177282124-323
10Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse176472120122
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo176472424022
12Fagiano OkayamaOkayama176471314-122
13Avispa Fukuoka176471517-222
14Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare176381220-821
15Tokyo Verdy175571218-620
16FC Tokyo165471720-319
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC175391117-618
18Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus174581925-617
19Albirex Niigata162771723-613
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama151591123-128


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