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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 10.40am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
1 - 1
Cerezo

Yamami (49' pen.)
Someno (61'), Taniguchi (80')
Yamada (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceara (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 1-2 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, June 30 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Cerezo Osaka

Although the visitors hold the superior defensive record and have generally been more consistent, Tokyo Verdy will fancy their chances of prevailing from this contest. While they may not necessarily have the most possession, we are backing the hosts to come through this encounter by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawCerezo Osaka
28.03% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 26.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 45.62% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.98% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)54.02% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)75.46% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)34.27% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.109 -0.11)70.97% (0.10900000000001 0.11)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.62% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.7% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 28.03%
    Cerezo Osaka 45.62%
    Draw 26.34%
Tokyo VerdyDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.03%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 11.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.62%

How you voted: Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo

Tokyo Verdy
60.9%
Draw
21.7%
Cerezo Osaka
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 7am
Gameweek 3
Cerezo
2-1
Tokyo Verdy
Kagawa (42'), Ceara (90+3' pen.)
Tanaka (79'), Funaki (85')
Kimura (53')
Inami (28')
Inami (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kyoto Sanga137331814424
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141911822
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136431511422
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol11551128420
5Avispa Fukuoka126241312120
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki124621911818
7Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse125341713418
8Fagiano OkayamaOkayama12534118318
9Vissel KobeVissel Kobe11533108218
10Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima11524109117
11Machida Zelvia125251212017
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare125251014-417
13Tokyo Verdy12354812-414
14Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka124261219-714
15Cerezo OsakaCerezo123451617-113
16FC Tokyo123451113-213
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC12336810-212
18Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus123271321-811
19Albirex Niigata111551116-58
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama121561117-68


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