MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 07:31:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 25, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
P-P
Nacional

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro
Monday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Cerro vs. Torque
Sunday, April 20 at 9.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Danubio
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Miramar Misiones vs. Nacional
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (6.58%).

Result
CerroDrawNacional
17.36% (-0.674 -0.67) 23.82% (-0.136 -0.14) 58.82% (0.812 0.81)
Both teams to score 44.87% (-0.803 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (-0.421 -0.42)54.52% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-0.351 -0.35)75.88% (0.354 0.35)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-1.079 -1.08)45.06% (1.083 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02% (-0.872 -0.87)80.98% (0.876 0.88)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (0.143 0.14)18.32% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (0.242 0.24)49.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 17.36%
    Nacional 58.82%
    Draw 23.81%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 4.45% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-0 @ 2.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 14.01% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 11.89% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.73% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.82%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Galeano (45+1'), Lopez (55')
Castro (31')

Triunfo (54'), Macelli (84')
Jun 9, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
3-0
Nacional
Ramirez (14'), Petillo Mediza (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Berrios (76')
Abero (29')

Santander (65'), Izquierdo (67'), Castro (69')
Apr 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool127501981126
2Juventud127232014623
3NacionalNacional1264226141222
4Defensor SportingDefensor12633159621
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12624128420
6Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia12534119218
7PenarolPenarol125341515018
8Cerro Largo124531213-117
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque124531316-317
10Boston RiverBoston River124351317-415
11CerroCerro123541213-114
12ProgresoProgreso122641321-812
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers121651013-39
14DanubioDanubio120841015-58
15Miramar Misiones122281221-98
16River PlateRiver Plate12147916-77


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