Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 48.12% ( | 23.8% ( | 28.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( | 43.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( | 65.65% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( | 18.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.91% ( | 49.08% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( | 28.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 1-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.07% |