Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.