Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One | Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Inverness

Gilmour (90+1' og.)
Aitken (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mckay (56')
Gilmour (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stenhousemuir and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 4-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 12 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 0-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
29.8% (0.07 0.07)25.8% (0.042000000000002 0.04)44.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (-0.123 -0.12)50.96% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (-0.107 -0.11)72.83% (0.114 0.11)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.34% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)67.7% (0.020999999999987 0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.101 -0.1)22.88% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.152 -0.15)56.62% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 29.8%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 44.39%
    Draw 25.8%
StenhousemuirDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.8%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.39%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 25
Inverness
4-1
Stenhousemuir
Brannan (2'), Gilmour (16'), Bray (48'), Allan (51')
Allan (60'), Bray (63')
O'Reilly (10')
Anderson (72'), (76')
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stenhousemuir
0-1
Inverness

Yates (61')
Allan (86')
Devine (62')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Inverness
0-0
Stenhousemuir
Devine (17'), Mckay (56')
Berry (45')