Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.