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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
3 - 0
San Diego

Abada (11'), Agyemang (45' pen.), Privett (57')
Bronico (59'), Williamson (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Reyes (32'), Hamady (67'), Lozano (90+2')
Reyes (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Charlotte FC and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 3-2 San Diego
Sunday, April 13 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 San Diego

In what promises to be a tight encounter between two sides enjoying strong runs to open their MLS campaigns, we give a slight edge to Charlotte FC, given the quality in their squad and their perfect home record thus far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawSan Diego
56.26% (-1.59 -1.59) 21.75% (0.138 0.14) 21.98% (1.448 1.45)
Both teams to score 58.89% (1.731 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (1.266 1.27)39.64% (-1.269 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (1.306 1.31)61.99% (-1.309 -1.31)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)13.97% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52% (-0.144 -0.14)41.47% (0.14 0.14)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (2.068 2.07)31.53% (-2.072 -2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (2.322 2.32)67.92% (-2.325 -2.32)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 56.26%
    San Diego 21.98%
    Draw 21.75%
Charlotte FCDrawSan Diego
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.561 -0.56)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.171 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.08 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.275 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.294 0.29)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs San Diego

Charlotte FC
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
San Diego
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland104421613316
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10046616-104
15San Diego FC00000000


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