Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 21.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.