We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Colorado Rapids
San Jose have enjoyed a good start to the season with a couple of commanding victories and goals to boot, and given their quality, the visitors face a daunting task this weekend.
Although Colorado have been resolute in their first three outings of the season, the hosts are likely to edge this contest 1-0.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.