Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colorado Rapids in this match.