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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 21 | 48 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 23 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Dallas | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | -7 | 27 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 23 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 56.6% ( | 21.65% ( | 21.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.55% ( | 39.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% ( | 61.79% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% ( | 13.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.85% ( | 41.15% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% ( | 31.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.96% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 5-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.6% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 21.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | DC United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Toronto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Dallas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
