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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 22 | 1 | 33 |
| 2 | Dallas | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 4 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 55.53% ( | 22.42% ( | 22.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( | 42.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( | 65% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( | 15.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.13% ( | 43.87% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( | 33.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.27% ( | 69.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.53% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | DC United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
