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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 2 | 33 |
| 2 | Dallas | 21 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 3 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 2 | 33 |
| 2 | Dallas | 21 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 3 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 54.14% ( | 24.04% ( | 21.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( | 49.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( | 71.84% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( | 18.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.59% ( | 49.41% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.59% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.8% ( | 74.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 17 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toronto | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | DC United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Dallas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |
