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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 |
| 3 | Dallas | 16 | 9 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 16 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 1 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 61.93% ( | 20.52% ( | 17.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( | 40.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( | 62.93% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.42% ( | 12.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.35% ( | 38.65% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( | 36.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.68% ( | 73.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 5-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 61.93% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Toronto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | DC United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Dallas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
