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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 13 | 33 | 
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 | 
| 3 | Dallas | 16 | 9 | 26 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 | 
| 2 | Dallas | 16 | 9 | 26 | 
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 1 | 24 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas | 
| 61.93% (  -0.79) | 20.52% (  0.2) | 17.55% (  0.59) | 
| Both teams to score 55.48% (  0.56) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.45% (  0.15) | 40.55% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.07% (  0.15) | 62.93% (  -0.15) | 
| Los Angeles FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.42% (  -0.18) | 12.58% (  0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.35% (  -0.37) | 38.65% (  0.37) | 
| Dallas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.47% (  0.77) | 36.53% (  -0.77) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.68% (  0.77) | 73.32% (  -0.77) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas | 
| 2-1 @ 9.94% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% (  -0.2) 1-0 @ 9.53% (  -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.87% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.83% (  -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.56% (  -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.54% (  -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.46% (  0.05) 4-2 @ 1.79% (  0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% (  -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.47% (  -0.06) Other @ 3.59% Total : 61.93% | 1-1 @ 9.59% (  0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% (  0.11) 0-0 @ 4.6% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% (  0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 4.83% (  0.14) 0-1 @ 4.63% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 2.33% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 1.68% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 1.62% (  0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.55% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 
| 4 | Orlando City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | 
| 8 | Toronto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 
| 9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 
| 13 | DC United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | 
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 
| 5 | Dallas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | 
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | 
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | 
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 
| 10 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | 
| 11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
