Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sudan and Gabon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gabon 1-0 Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Gabon |
22.98% ( 0.14) | 27.64% ( 0.13) | 49.38% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
