Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Hungary
3 - 0
Bulgaria

Vecsei (7'), Szoboszlai (26'), Adam (39')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Estonia
Thursday, March 23 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	6	1	11
2	Hungary	6	3	10
3	Germany	6	2	7
4	England	6	-6	3

Bulgaria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
Friday, March 24 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Bulgaria may have impressively held their own on rival territory over the course of the past few months, but unlike in the animal kingdom, the Lions are the underdogs here. With a penchant for goals at the Puskas Arena, Hungary are only on an upward trajectory and should encounter few difficulties en route to a straightforward opening win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Bulgaria
53.88% ( -0.34)	26.72% ( -0.06)	19.41% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 40.71% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.12% (

0.58)

61.88% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.35% (

0.43)

81.65% (

-0.42)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

0.1)

23.26% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.82% (

0.15)

57.18% (

-0.15)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.05% (

0.82)

46.95% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55% (

0.61)

82.45% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Hungary 53.86%

Bulgaria 19.41%

Draw 26.72%

Hungary	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 15.92% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.86%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.41%