Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
