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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | -1 | 30 |
| 2 | Dallas | 20 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 2 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austin FC | 20 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 17 | 39 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | -1 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
| 55.15% ( | 23.39% ( | 21.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( | 47.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( | 69.74% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( | 17.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.71% ( | 47.29% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( | 36.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.75% ( | 73.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 5-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
