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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 43.89% | 24.61% | 31.51% |
| Both teams to score 57.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% | 45.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% | 67.41% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% | 20.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.81% | 53.19% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% | 27.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.37% | 62.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3% Total : 31.51% |
