Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
