Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Belshina win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.