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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Smith (30')
Carlos (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wolff (86')
Hernandez (66'), Rossetto (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Atlanta
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United

Both sides are in similar veins of form, so we do not think there will be a great deal to separate the sides on Sunday. Orlando have been poor at home this season, while Atlanta are on a six-game winless run on the road, so we think the sides will share the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
42.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 32.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-0.052 -0.05)46.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)68.87% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.88% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.61% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)63.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 42.92%
    Atlanta United 32.08%
    Draw 25%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
52.9%
Draw
38.2%
Atlanta United
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
gameweek 29
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
gameweek 20
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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