Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Belshina win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.