Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 4-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
88.03% (![]() | 8.42% (![]() | 3.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.15% (![]() | 25.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.98% (![]() | 46.02% (![]() |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.26% (![]() | 3.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.99% (![]() | 16.01% (![]() |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.91% (![]() | 56.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.48% (![]() | 88.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
3-0 @ 12.4% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 10.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.62% Total : 88.02% | 1-1 @ 3.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 8.42% | 0-1 @ 1.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.18% Total : 3.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |