On the back of a confidence-boosting win, and knowing they need all three points to keep their European hopes alive, Lyon should have enough to see off a resilient Reims side on home turf at the weekend.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.