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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Schalke
RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Schalke
Laimer (10'), Nkunku (19', 90+4'), Poulsen (82')
Rose (21'), Haidara (41'), Nkunku (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kaminski (28'), Orban (49' og.)
Brunner (20'), Polter (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Schalke 04

Although Leipzig are guaranteed to finish third regardless of their result against Schalke, Rose will still want his players to end their league campaign on a high ahead of taking on Frankfurt in the DFB-Pokal final next weekend. Schalke have done well to stay alive heading into the final day of the season given their disastrous form earlier in the campaign, but we expect an instant return to the second tier to be confirmed with a defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
67.99% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08) 18.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 13.9% (0.071 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.45% (0.1 0.1)36.55% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.3% (0.11 0.11)58.7% (-0.108 -0.11)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.16% (0.010999999999996 0.01)9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (0.168 0.17)38.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (0.158 0.16)75.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.99%
    Schalke 04 13.9%
    Draw 18.11%
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 67.99%
1-1 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.11%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 13.9%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Schalke

RB Leipzig
73.5%
Draw
16.3%
Schalke 04
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Schalke
1-6
RB Leipzig
Kozuki (56')
Frey (79')
Silva (7', 44'), Henrichs (15'), Werner (45+2'), Olmo (83'), Poulsen (89')
Kampl (90+3')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 20
Schalke
0-3
RB Leipzig

Mascarell (27'), Kolasinac (69')
Mukiele (45+3'), Sabitzer (73'), Orban (87')
Sabitzer (82')
Oct 3, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
4-0
Schalke
Bozdogan (31' og.), Angelino (35'), Orban (45+2'), Halstenberg (80' pen.)
Sorloth (84')

Sane (64'), Nastasic (79'), Ibisevic (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Schalke
0-5
RB Leipzig

Raman (3'), Harit (43')
Sabitzer (1'), Werner (61'), Halstenberg (68'), Angelino (80'), Forsberg (89')
Laimer (5'), Werner (57'), Upamecano (78')
Sep 28, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
1-3
Schalke
Forsberg (83')
Halstenberg (45')
Sane (29'), Harit (43' pen.), Matondo (58')
Caligiuri (86')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729

Real Madrid Until The End
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