

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 78.17% ( | 13.43% ( | 8.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.59% ( | 29.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.53% ( | 50.47% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.99% ( | 6.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.09% ( | 22.91% ( |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.74% ( | 43.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.49% ( | 79.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 4-0 @ 6.77% ( 4-1 @ 5.67% ( 5-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 5-1 @ 3.19% ( 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 6-0 @ 1.78% 6-1 @ 1.5% ( 5-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 4.45% Total : 78.16% | 1-1 @ 6.13% ( 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.43% | 1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0-1 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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