Hoffenheim appear to have finally turned a corner with time to spare in terms of securing their survival this season, and we expect them to have too much quality for the visitors.
Schalke's confidence could be bruised after seeing their unbeaten run come to an empathic end against Leverkusen in their most recent match, and it would not be a surprise if their form continues to slide across the coming weeks.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
0.01) 
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