

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 37.98% ( | 24.96% ( | 37.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( | 45.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( | 67.81% ( |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( | 23.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.23% ( | 57.77% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% | 24.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.53% | 58.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.98% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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