Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.