Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.