Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 59.24% | 21.32% | 19.44% |
| Both teams to score 56.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% | 41.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% | 63.52% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% | 13.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.37% | 40.63% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% | 34.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.45% | 71.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.63% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 3.31% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.27% Total : 59.24% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-1 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 25 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 21 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 21 |
| 18 | Stuttgart | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
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