Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 41%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
