

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Burton Albion | 
| 42.55% ( | 25.45% ( | 32% ( | 
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.39% ( | 48.61% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.27% ( | 70.73% ( | 
| Cheltenham Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.25% ( | 22.75% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.57% ( | 56.43% ( | 
| Burton Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.35% ( | 28.65% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.54% ( | 64.46% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Burton Albion | 
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.55%  | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45%  | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 32%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 79 | 46 | 33 | 98 | 
| P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 99 | 33 | 66 | 97 | 
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 37 | 43 | 93 | 
| 4 | Barnsley | 45 | 26 | 8 | 11 | 80 | 45 | 35 | 86 | 
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 78 | 
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 67 | 45 | 22 | 76 | 
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 23 | 5 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 74 | 
| 8 | Portsmouth | 45 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 69 | 
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 68 | 
| 10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 61 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 13 | 20 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 59 | 
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 57 | 
| 13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 56 | 
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 53 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 53 | 
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 53 | 
| 17 | Burton Albion | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 56 | 79 | -23 | 52 | 
| 18 | Port Vale | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 49 | 
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 47 | 
| 20 | MK Dons | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 44 | 
| 21 | Morecambe | 45 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 75 | -30 | 44 | 
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 44 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 43 | 
| 23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 76 | -38 | 41 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 87 | -56 | 27 | 
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