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Exeter City
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Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
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Port Vale
Portsmouth
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Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK at Vale Park
League One | Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Politic (65'), Agyakwa (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Ashworth (21'), Kirk (43'), Shaughnessy (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Burton Albion

Port Vale have taken four points from their last two matches, and after winning their previous two home games, we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
50.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.5% (0.0040000000000013 0) 24.26% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.25% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)73.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 50.23%
    Burton Albion 24.26%
    Draw 25.49%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Burton Albion

Port Vale
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
1-2
Port Vale
Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
Politic (79', 82')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
0-4
Burton Albion

Duffy (45')
Akins (34'), Grant (45' og.), Duffy (50'), Butcher (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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