Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Port Vale in this match.
