We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Accrington Stanley
With both sides keen to avoid another defeat, we see this being a cagey encounter and cannot quite pick a winner.
The hosts have struggled going forward, while their visitors' defensive record is not one to be proud of, so something must give at the Pirelli Stadium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
